MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:50:23| >> :600:397729:397729:
Potential new EL header

Europa League
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
1 - 2
Larnaca

Svatok (90')
Sarapiy (63')
Sarapiy (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Altman (16'), Svatok (29' og.)
Gustavo (62'), Casas (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dnipro-1 and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dnipro-1

Last Six:
    Last Game: Mariupol 0-3 Dnipro-1
    Friday, December 10 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

    AEK Larnaca

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Partizan 2-2 Larnaca
      Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa League

      We said: Dnipro-1 1-2 AEK Larnaca

       Considering the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, AEK Larnaca head into Thursday as clear favourites to come out on top. While we expect Dnipro-1 to put up a fight in a bid to claim a headline-grabbing victory, we are backing the Cyprus outfit to claim a first-leg win. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AEK Larnaca in this match.

      Result
      Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
      44.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.16% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 28.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
      Both teams to score 48.17%
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      43.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)56.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      22.27% (0.004999999999999 0)77.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
      Dnipro-1 Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.5% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.66% (0.018999999999998 0.02)60.34% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
      AEK Larnaca Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      64.66% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)35.34% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      27.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)72.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      Score Analysis
          Dnipro-1 44.29%
          AEK Larnaca 28.55%
          Draw 27.15%
      Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
      1-0 @ 12.31%
      2-1 @ 8.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
      2-0 @ 8.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
      3-1 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      3-0 @ 3.83% (0.004 0)
      3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
      4-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      Other @ 2.25%
      Total : 44.29%
      		1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
      2-2 @ 4.55%
      Other @ 0.79%
      Total : 27.15%
      		0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
      1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
      2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      Other @ 2.06%
      Total : 28.55%

      How you voted: Dnipro-1 vs Larnaca

      Dnipro-1
      42.2%
      Draw
      18.8%
      AEK Larnaca
      39.1%
      64
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Liverpool119112161528
      2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
      3Chelsea115422113819
      4Arsenal115421812619
      5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
      6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
      7Fulham115331613318
      8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
      9Aston Villa115331717018
      10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
      11Brentford115152222016
      12Bournemouth114341515015
      13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
      14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
      15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
      16Everton112451017-710
      17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
      18Crystal Palace11146815-77
      19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
      20Southampton11119721-144
      > Premier League Full Table


      Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
      Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!