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Europa League
Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
3 - 0
Pafos

Zeneli (9'), Hult (59'), Frick (82')
Ouma (12'), Baldursson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Melluso (26'), Jairo (38')
Melluso (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Pafos FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-0 Brommapojkarna
Saturday, July 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Pafos FC

We said: Elfsborg 1-0 Pafos FC

 Elfsborg returned from the summer break with a convincing win, and the Swedes should take confidence from the weekend's success into their continental battle on Thursday. Pafos have been promising during their friendly fixtures, but we feel that the Cypriots will fall behind ahead of the second leg later this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawPafos FC
56.14% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 21.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 22.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.46% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.66% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)58.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (0.012999999999991 0.01)13.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.43% (0.026999999999994 0.03)39.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 56.14%
    Pafos FC 22.58%
    Draw 21.29%
ElfsborgDrawPafos FC
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.58%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Pafos

Elfsborg
78.4%
Draw
10.8%
Pafos FC
10.8%
74
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Elfsborg
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


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