MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:46:47| >> :600:379512:379512:
Potential new EL header

Europa League
Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
3 - 0
Pafos

Zeneli (9'), Hult (59'), Frick (82')
Ouma (12'), Baldursson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Melluso (26'), Jairo (38')
Melluso (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Pafos FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-0 Brommapojkarna
Saturday, July 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Pafos FC

We said: Elfsborg 1-0 Pafos FC

 Elfsborg returned from the summer break with a convincing win, and the Swedes should take confidence from the weekend's success into their continental battle on Thursday. Pafos have been promising during their friendly fixtures, but we feel that the Cypriots will fall behind ahead of the second leg later this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawPafos FC
56.14% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 21.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 22.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.46% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.66% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)58.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (0.012999999999991 0.01)13.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.43% (0.026999999999994 0.03)39.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 56.14%
    Pafos FC 22.58%
    Draw 21.29%
ElfsborgDrawPafos FC
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.58%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Pafos

Elfsborg
78.4%
Draw
10.8%
Pafos FC
10.8%
74
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Elfsborg
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!