Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Stelios Kyriakides
Pafos2 - 5Elfsborg
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ouma (23'), Baidoo (47'), Baldursson (48'), Abdulai (58'), Zeneli (85')
Kaib (2'), Ouma (17'), Baldursson (36'), Henriksson (41')
Kaib (2'), Ouma (17'), Baldursson (36'), Henriksson (41')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hacken 3-5 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Pafos FC 2-1 Elfsborg (Elfsborg win 4-2 on aggregate)
Pafos need to score three goals without reply just to take the game into extra time, but we cannot envisage such a scenario given that Elfsborg have netted 11 times in their last three matches. The Yellow Ones are not amazing on the road typically and could lose on the night, but the Swedes have a large enough lead on aggregate to cruise into the next stage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
Result | ||
Pafos FC | Draw | Elfsborg |
28.77% ( 0.02) | 23.16% ( 0) | 48.07% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.24% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.21% | 39.79% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.85% ( -0) | 62.14% ( 0.01) |
Pafos FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( 0.02) | 26.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( 0.02) | 61.52% ( -0.01) |
Elfsborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.17% ( -0.01) | 16.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.19% ( -0.02) | 46.81% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Pafos FC 28.77%
Elfsborg 48.07%
Draw 23.16%
Pafos FC | Draw | Elfsborg |
2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.77% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 48.07% |
How you voted: Pafos vs Elfsborg
Pafos FC
49.2%Draw
22.0%Elfsborg
28.8%59
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 6pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Elfsborg
3-0
Pafos
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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