MX23RW : Friday, January 31 00:03:59| >> :60:233:233:
Ferencvaros
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Groupama Aréna
Leverkusen logo

Ferencvaros
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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We said: Ferencvaros 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

While Ferencvaros should not be written off from carrying out an impressive turnaround with home advantage on their side, we expect Leverkusen to progress on Thursday. Alonso has hugely improved the club's fortunes since replacing Gerardo Seoane earlier this season, and they undoubtedly have the pace and quality to punish the hosts in transition should they push for a goal too early on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawBayer Leverkusen
43.68% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 32.23% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)42.35% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)64.75% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)19.6% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)51.53% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)25.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.26% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 43.68%
    Bayer Leverkusen 32.23%
    Draw 24.08%
FerencvarosDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs B. Leverkusen

Ferencvaros
18.5%
Draw
11.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
69.7%
119
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Ferencvaros
Demirbay (9'), Tapsoba (86')
Demirbay (38'), Alonso (38'), Wirtz (75'), Odilon (83')

Marquinhos (45'), Zachariassen (49'), Botka (75'), Civic (90+3')
Dec 9, 2021 8pm
Group G
Ferencvaros
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Laidouni (82')
Laidouni (84'), Blazic (90'), Cabraja (90+2')

Bellarabi (26'), Retsos (86'), Odilon (87')
Sep 16, 2021 5.45pm
rhs 2.0
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