Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Groupama Aréna
Ferencvaros0 - 2B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Ferencvaros 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
While Ferencvaros should not be written off from carrying out an impressive turnaround with home advantage on their side, we expect Leverkusen to progress on Thursday. Alonso has hugely improved the club's fortunes since replacing Gerardo Seoane earlier this season, and they undoubtedly have the pace and quality to punish the hosts in transition should they push for a goal too early on. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Ferencvaros | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
43.68% ( -0.03) | 24.08% ( 0.01) | 32.23% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.94% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( -0.04) | 42.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.24% ( -0.04) | 64.75% ( 0.04) |
Ferencvaros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.4% ( -0.02) | 19.6% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.46% ( -0.04) | 51.53% ( 0.04) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -0.01) | 25.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.73% ( -0.01) | 60.26% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ferencvaros 43.68%
Bayer Leverkusen 32.23%
Draw 24.08%
Ferencvaros | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.23% |
How you voted: Ferencvaros vs B. Leverkusen
Ferencvaros
18.5%Draw
11.8%Bayer Leverkusen
69.7%119
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-31 00:03:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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