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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Hertha Berlin logo

B. Leverkusen
4 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Azmoun (12'), Frimpong (21'), Diaby (60'), Adli (73')
Tah (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lukebakio (67' pen.)
Ngankam (75'), Kenny (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, February 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hertha Berlin

 Although Hertha have considerably improved in recent weeks, their away form remains extremely poor, and we expect Leverkusen to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga as a result. Alonso will hope for a dominant first-half performance in order to allow him to rest players before hosting Ferencvaros in the Europa League on Thursday, but the visitors are unlikely to make things that easy for the Spaniard and his side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHertha Berlin
63.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 19.84% (0.0039999999999978 0) 16.17% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.82% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.96% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.68% (0.031999999999996 0.03)62.32% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.17% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)11.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.07%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.055999999999997 0.06)37.82% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (0.054000000000002 0.05)74.59% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 63.99%
    Hertha Berlin 16.17%
    Draw 19.84%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 63.99%
1-1 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.35%
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.17%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Hertha Berlin

Bayer Leverkusen
82.2%
Draw
11.0%
Hertha Berlin
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Serdar (56'), Richter (74')
Serdar (43')
Demirbay (49'), Schick (79')
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Alario (35'), Bellarabi (40')
Darida (42')
Boateng (41')
Nov 7, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Jovetic (42')
Darida (64')
Andrich (90')
Palacios (30'), Demirbay (58'), Diaby (79')
Mar 21, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
B. Leverkusen
Zeefuik (4'), Cunha (26'), Cordoba (33')

Bailey (35'), Amiri (79')
Nov 29, 2020 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Hertha Berlin

Sinkgraven (80'), Bailey (90+4')

Cunha (30')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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