Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
35.89% ( -0.26) | 24.29% ( -0.03) | 39.82% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.6% ( 0.11) | 42.4% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.19% ( 0.1) | 64.81% ( -0.1) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% ( -0.1) | 23.37% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.65% ( -0.14) | 57.35% ( 0.14) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( 0.19) | 21.38% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( 0.29) | 54.36% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |