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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Leverkusen logo

Werder Bremen
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Ducksch (30'), Fullkrug (86' pen.)
Stark (76'), Schmidt (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bakker (34'), Frimpong (56'), Hlozek (83')
Odilon (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Given the one-point gap between the teams in the Bundesliga table, we can see Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen playing out a close-fought battle. Both sides have picked up a number of positive results in recent weeks, so we expect the points to be shared at Weserstadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
35.89% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26) 24.29% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 39.82% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.105 0.11)42.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19% (0.103 0.1)64.81% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)23.37% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65% (-0.139 -0.14)57.35% (0.14 0.14)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.187 0.19)21.38% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.287 0.29)54.36% (-0.288 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 35.89%
    Bayer Leverkusen 39.82%
    Draw 24.28%
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.82%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs B. Leverkusen

Werder Bremen
30.6%
Draw
25.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
43.5%
62
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Werder Bremen
Toprak (4' og.), Alario (58')
Bender (51'), Alario (88')
Rashica (40'), Klaassen (48')
Klaassen (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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