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Europa League
Ferencvaros
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
Monaco

Ferencvaros
1 - 1
Monaco

Zachariassen (82')
Botka (24'), Dibusz (32'), Laidouni (80'), Cherchesov (90+1'), Besic (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ben Yedder (31')
Camara (57'), Badiashile (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Red Star
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Monaco

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lille 4-3 Monaco
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ferencvaros 1-2 Monaco

 Monaco are often their own worst enemy in these European fixtures, making critical errors that can completely change the complexion of a game, although they have never lost consecutive matches in a European competition. On the opposite side, Ferencvaros tend to sit back and sustain a lot of pressure, and while that has been successful for them in the group stage thus far, we expect to see an angry Monaco side unleash its frustrations on the Hungarians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
FerencvarosDrawMonaco
29.5% (0.437 0.44) 22.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 48.36% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 65.56% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.67% (0.34099999999999 0.34)34.33% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.76% (0.386 0.39)56.24% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.441 0.44)23.16% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.639 0.64)57.04% (-0.64 -0.64)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)14.68% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)42.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 29.5%
    Monaco 48.36%
    Draw 22.13%
FerencvarosDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.5%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.28% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 48.36%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Monaco

Ferencvaros
34.5%
Draw
10.3%
Monaco
55.2%
174
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group H
Monaco
0-1
Ferencvaros
Vecsei (80')
Besic (69')
rhs 2.0
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