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Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tynecastle Park
FC Zurich

Hearts
0 - 1
FC Zurich


Grant (18'), Rowles (42'), Shankland (47')
Grant (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rohner (80')
Conde (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Hearts and FC Zurich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, August 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Hearts 1-1 FC Zurich (FC Zurich to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Hosting a European match for the first time since 2016, Hearts will be confident of turning the tie around at Tynecastle, but they will need to be on top of their game across the pitch if they are to progress past a resurgent Zurich outfit. However, the Swiss side showed their European experience in the first leg and we can see them frustrating the Jam Tarts to edge through on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawFC Zurich
45.46% (-0.202 -0.2) 24.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 30.32% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 58.51% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (0.035000000000004 0.04)43.82% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)66.21% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)19.43% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.115 -0.12)51.27% (0.116 0.12)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.145 0.14)27.38% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (0.183 0.18)62.84% (-0.18 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 45.47%
    FC Zurich 30.32%
    Draw 24.22%
HeartsDrawFC Zurich
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Hearts vs FC Zurich

Hearts
53.1%
Draw
15.6%
FC Zurich
31.3%
96
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 6pm
FC Zurich
2-1
Hearts
Guerrero (32'), Dzemaili (34')
Marchesano (22'), Guerrero (47')
Shankland (22' pen.)
Sibbick (86'), Smith (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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