MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:58:56| >> :600:394642:394642:
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Europa League
FC Zurich
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
Hearts logo

FC Zurich
2 - 1
Hearts

Guerrero (32'), Dzemaili (34')
Marchesano (22'), Guerrero (47')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Shankland (22' pen.)
Sibbick (86'), Smith (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Zurich and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

Last Six:
Last Game: Winterthur 1-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, August 14 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Hearts

Last Six:
Last Game: Hearts 4-1 Dundee Utd
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: FC Zurich 1-1 Hearts

 Despite their two-legged win over Linfield, Zurich's domestic form is understandably a concern for the Swiss side heading into Thursday's contest, while Hearts have made a bright start to their top-flight campaign. Nevertheless, a closely-fought contest is set to be played out in St Gallen and we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC ZurichDrawHearts
50.05% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 24.77% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 25.17% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.373 -0.37)49.64% (0.37 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (-0.337 -0.34)71.66% (0.333 0.33)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (-0.137 -0.14)19.84% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.06% (-0.221 -0.22)51.94% (0.218 0.22)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.283 -0.28)34.24% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.304 -0.3)70.94% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 50.05%
    Hearts 25.17%
    Draw 24.77%
FC ZurichDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.17%

How you voted: FC Zurich vs Hearts

FC Zurich
54.7%
Draw
19.8%
Hearts
25.6%
86
rhs 2.0
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