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Europa League
HJK logo
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Silkeborg

Browne (80')
Radulovic (83'), Tenho (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calisir (28'), Salquist (61')
Calisir (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Silkeborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

Last Six:
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Maribor
Thursday, August 11 at 5pm in Europa League

Silkeborg

Last Six:
Last Game: Viborg 2-0 Silkeborg
Sunday, August 14 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

We said: HJK Helsinki 2-2 Silkeborg

 HJK have enjoyed a perfect campaign in the Europa League qualifiers, winning their two games so far while also keeping two clean sheets. However, they should expect a stern challenge from Silkeborg, who possesses the firepower needed to grab the result on Thursday. We anticipate a thrilling contest, with both sides cancelling out each other's efforts and settling for a draw, leaving all to play for in the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Silkeborg had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Silkeborg win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawSilkeborg
41.07% (0.213 0.21) 24.24% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 34.69% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 60.19% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (-0.368 -0.37)42.37% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (-0.371 -0.37)64.78% (0.366 0.37)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)20.78% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)53.42% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Silkeborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.328 -0.33)24.02% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (-0.47 -0.47)58.28% (0.465 0.47)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 41.07%
    Silkeborg 34.69%
    Draw 24.24%
HJK HelsinkiDrawSilkeborg
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.69%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Silkeborg

HJK Helsinki
50.8%
Draw
30.2%
Silkeborg
19.0%
126
rhs 2.0
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