We said: Lazio 1-1 Galatasaray
The absence of Cicaldau for Galatasaray and potential loss of Immobile for Lazio are bitter blows to both sides, and the Biancocelesti have been far from consistent in league and continental action this term.
Terim's men also struggle to get over the line away from home, but if star man Immobile misses out as expected, we have confidence in Galatasaray's ability to claim a draw and cement their position atop the group.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
