Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille3 - 1AEK Athens
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Marseille
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Asteras 0-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Greek Superleague
We said: Marseille 2-2 AEK Athens
With both Brighton and Ajax unable to claim maximum points in their Group B fixture, Marseille have the chance to climb to the top of the standings with a win on Thursday. However, AEK Athens have made a notable impression in the group stage and we believe that the Greek outfit can claim a hard-earned point against an out-of-sorts Marseille side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | AEK Athens |
39.05% ( 0.19) | 24.63% ( -0.02) | 36.32% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
