Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice1 - 0Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Nice 1-1 Marseille
Nice have been excellent so far and are proving to be a frustrating side to come up against, but their previous two performances were not wholly convincing, and they must find another gear against better opposition here. Marseille simply do not win away, and that is unlikely to change against one of the league's most in-form sides, but they may well have enough to claim a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
41.18% ( 1.08) | 26.14% ( -0.25) | 32.68% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( 0.85) | 51.31% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( 0.74) | 73.14% ( -0.74) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( 0.95) | 24.62% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.87% ( 1.31) | 59.12% ( -1.32) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( -0.12) | 29.54% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.44% ( -0.14) | 65.56% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 41.18%
Marseille 32.68%
Draw 26.14%
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.68% |
How you voted: Nice vs Marseille
Nice
53.7%Draw
27.8%Marseille
18.5%54
