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Europa League
PAOK
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
2 - 2
Plzen

Tissoudali (84'), Rahman (90+3')
Tissoudali (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Havel (31'), Vydra (39')
Dweh (11'), Markovic (41'), Kwabena Adu (70'), Koubek (86'), Jedlicka (90')
Koubek (0'), Dweh (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PAOK and Viktoria Plzen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 PAOK
Sunday, October 20 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Viktoria Plzen

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Banik Ostrava 1-3 Plzen
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Czech Liga

We said: PAOK 1-1 Viktoria Plzen

 PAOK will view Thursday's fixture as a good opportunity to secure their first Europa League victory of the season, but Viktoria Plzen have made themselves difficult to beat on the continent, winning 15 and drawing seven of their last 22 European matches (including qualifiers), and we can see the Czech side claiming at least a share of the spoils in Greece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PAOKDrawViktoria Plzen
64.52% (0.27800000000001 0.28) 20.15% (-0.11 -0.11) 15.33% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (0.145 0.14)43.04% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (0.145 0.15)65.44% (-0.148 -0.15)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.121 0.12)12.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (0.255 0.25)38.71% (-0.259 -0.26)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.21% (-0.139 -0.14)40.79% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.63% (-0.124 -0.12)77.37% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 64.5%
    Viktoria Plzen 15.33%
    Draw 20.15%
PAOKDrawViktoria Plzen
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.15%
0-1 @ 4.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 15.33%

How you voted: PAOK vs Plzen

PAOK
58.0%
Draw
31.8%
Viktoria Plzen
10.2%
88
rhs 2.0
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