MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 08:00:22| >> :600:1834693:1834693:
Shamrock Rovers
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
PAOK

Shamrock
0 - 2
PAOK


Towell (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ozdoyev (64'), Despodov (75')
Michailidis (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shamrock Rovers and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 1-1 Galway United
Sunday, August 25 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panetolikos
Sunday, August 25 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Shamrock Rovers 1-2 PAOK (PAOK to win 6-1 on aggregate)

Shamrock are merely playing for pride as they are aware that they require a miracle to progress to the Europa League. Bradley is keen for his team to put in a positive display in front of their own fans, though, before they all but certainly drop down into the Conference League. PAOK, meanwhile, are in high spirits and will be keen to build on their positive start to the campaign, so we can see them coming out on top in the second leg and securing a comfortable aggregate victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawPAOK
19.94% (-7.467 -7.47) 22.32% (-2.56 -2.56) 57.73% (10.029 10.03)
Both teams to score 53.81% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (3.545 3.55)44.9% (-3.543 -3.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (3.321 3.32)67.26% (-3.32 -3.32)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (-4.675 -4.68)36.49% (4.678 4.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (-5.029 -5.03)73.27% (5.03 5.03)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (5.069 5.07)15.28% (-5.067 -5.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (8.761 8.76)43.98% (-8.758 -8.76)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 19.94%
    PAOK 57.73%
    Draw 22.32%
Shamrock RoversDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 5.62% (-1.793 -1.79)
2-1 @ 5.32% (-1.437 -1.44)
2-0 @ 2.83% (-1.412 -1.41)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.792 -0.79)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.669 -0.67)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.94%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-1.24 -1.24)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.897 -0.9)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.382 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.522 0.52)
0-2 @ 9.84% (1.634 1.63)
1-3 @ 6.21% (1.224 1.22)
0-3 @ 6.16% (1.807 1.81)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.275 0.28)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.932 0.93)
0-4 @ 2.89% (1.16 1.16)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.334 0.33)
1-5 @ 1.1% (0.464 0.46)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.535 0.54)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 57.73%

How you voted: Shamrock vs PAOK

Shamrock Rovers
Draw
PAOK
Shamrock Rovers
14.0%
Draw
5.3%
PAOK
80.7%
57
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 6.30pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
PAOK
4-0
Shamrock
Cleary (45+5' og.), Taison (47'), Konstantelias (67'), Rahman (90+4')

Honohan (33'), Grace (90+2'), Cleary (90+3')
Honohan (52')
rhs 2.0
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