Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ludogorets Razgrad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ludogorets Razgrad.
-11.12) 
16.53) 
