Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma1 - 0Dynamo Kiev
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Obolon 1-5 Dynamo Kiev
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Roma 2-1 Dynamo Kiev
Roma had scored in their previous 24 Serie A home matches ahead of Sunday's 1-0 defeat, so they should certainly find their way past a shaky Dynamo defence. The visitors not only struggle to keep the back door shut, but history is not on their side either: the Kyiv club have won just once in 13 visits to Italy - though that was a 3-0 victory over none other than Roma in September 2004. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
47.68% ( -0.31) | 23.23% ( 0.09) | 29.09% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( -0.28) | 39.9% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( -0.29) | 62.26% ( 0.29) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( -0.23) | 17.01% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.86% ( -0.4) | 47.14% ( 0.4) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 0) | 26.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.68% ( 0.01) | 61.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 47.68%
Dynamo Kiev 29.09%
Draw 23.22%
| Roma | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.13% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.09% |
How you voted: Roma vs Dynamo Kiev
Roma
84.8%Draw
9.0%Dynamo Kiev
6.2%211
Form Guide
