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Europa League
Roma logo
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Dynamo Kiev

Roma
1 - 0
Dynamo Kiev

Dovbyk (23' pen.)
Angelino (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mykhavko (23'), Rubchynskyi (37'), Kabaiev (84'), Shaparenko (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Dynamo Kiev, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Obolon 1-5 Dynamo Kiev
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Roma 2-1 Dynamo Kiev

 Roma had scored in their previous 24 Serie A home matches ahead of Sunday's 1-0 defeat, so they should certainly find their way past a shaky Dynamo defence. The visitors not only struggle to keep the back door shut, but history is not on their side either: the Kyiv club have won just once in 13 visits to Italy - though that was a 3-0 victory over none other than Roma in September 2004. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawDynamo Kiev
47.68% (-0.313 -0.31) 23.23% (0.09 0.09) 29.09% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.23% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-0.282 -0.28)39.9% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-0.294 -0.29)62.26% (0.294 0.29)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)17.01% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.4 -0.4)47.14% (0.401 0.4)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.007000000000005 0.01)61.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.68%
    Dynamo Kiev 29.09%
    Draw 23.22%
RomaDrawDynamo Kiev
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 4% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.09%

How you voted: Roma vs Dynamo Kiev

Roma
84.8%
Draw
9.0%
Dynamo Kiev
6.2%
211
rhs 2.0
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10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
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13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
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