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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Cristante (50'), Pisilli (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (60')
Inzaghi (35'), Barella (48'), Darmian (68'), Correa (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Sunday, October 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Torino
Saturday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-2 Inter Milan

With two more goals on Sunday, Inter would become the first team to score 300 against a single opponent in Serie A - and the reigning champions might just achieve that feat. The Nerazzurri have yet to lose away from home this season, while Roma are still a work in progress in the early phase of their Ivan Juric era. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
31.21% (-0.974 -0.97) 24.24% (-0.352 -0.35) 44.54% (1.326 1.33)
Both teams to score 58.91% (0.784 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.49% (1.22 1.22)43.51% (-1.218 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (1.188 1.19)65.9% (-1.187 -1.19)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)61.87% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (1.087 1.09)19.7% (-1.086 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (1.736 1.74)51.7% (-1.735 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Roma 31.21%
    Inter Milan 44.54%
    Draw 24.24%
RomaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 31.21%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.124 0.12)
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.229 0.23)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.15 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.157 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.119 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
15.7%
Draw
16.4%
Inter Milan
67.9%
159
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 24
Roma
2-4
Inter Milan
Mancini (28'), El Shaarawy (44')
Mancini (47'), Huijsen (90+2')
Acerbi (17'), Thuram (49'), Angelino (56' og.), Bastoni (90+3')
Oct 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Inter Milan
1-0
Roma
Thuram (81')
Pavard (33'), Calhanoglu (56'), Bastoni (64')

Mancini (13'), N'Dicka (47'), Paredes (50'), Cristante (68')
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Roma
0-2
Inter Milan
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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