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Europa League
Slavia Prague
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sinobo stadium
Milan logo

Slavia Prague
1 - 3
AC Milan

Jurasek (84')
Doudera (22'), Trpisovsky (24'), Tomic (86'), Dorley (89')
Holes (20')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pulisic (33'), Loftus-Cheek (36'), Leao (45+6')
Tomori (44'), Gabbia (56'), Leao (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Slavia Prague and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slavia Prague

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 4-0 Teplice
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Czech Liga

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Slavia Prague 2-2 AC Milan

 Milan have been involved in plenty of thrilling encounters recently with many goals, including in the second leg of their playoff tie with Rennes, but they should still have enough to comfortably navigate this encounter even if Slavia get on the scoresheet. While being in significantly better shape than rivals Sparta, who were thrashed by Liverpool last week, this may be too much of an ask for Slavia, as the Czech representation in the Europa League will likely end this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Slavia PragueDrawAC Milan
31.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.63%45.43%
Both teams to score 65.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59%35.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.55%57.44% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Slavia Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.71%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87%16.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44%45.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Slavia Prague 31.94%
    AC Milan 45.43%
    Draw 22.63%
Slavia PragueDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.39%
1-0 @ 5.39%
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 31.94%
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.59%
3-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-1 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 5.46%
2-3 @ 4.1%
0-3 @ 3.64%
1-4 @ 2.49%
2-4 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.66%
3-4 @ 0.94%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.43%

How you voted: Slavia Prague vs AC Milan

Slavia Prague
18.6%
Draw
23.3%
AC Milan
58.1%
210
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
AC Milan
4-2
Slavia Prague
Giroud (34'), Reijnders (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+1'), Pulisic (85')
Florenzi (2'), Calabria (72')
Doudera (36'), Schranz (65')
Hadji Malick Diouf (26')
> Preview
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