MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 19:27:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
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Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
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Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Milan logo

Monza
4 - 2
AC Milan

Pessina (45' pen.), Mota (45+6'), Bondo (90'), Colombo (90+5')
Djuric (33'), Pessina (45+8'), Palladino (50'), Mota (76'), Bondo (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Giroud (64'), Pulisic (88')
Gabbia (83')
Jovic (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Rennes
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Monza 0-1 AC Milan

While Milan are free-scoring, Monza have found the net just twice in four matches. Though Thursday's efforts will have sapped some of the Rossoneri's energy, they should still have enough gas in the tank to race past their Lombardy rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
MonzaDrawAC Milan
28.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.65% (0.409 0.41) 47.35% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-1.35 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-1.78 -1.78)47.04% (1.782 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-1.683 -1.68)69.28% (1.684 1.68)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (-0.90900000000001 -0.91)30.62% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.14% (-1.087 -1.09)66.86% (1.089 1.09)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (-0.886 -0.89)19.93% (0.886 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (-1.447 -1.45)52.08% (1.448 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Monza 28.01%
    AC Milan 47.35%
    Draw 24.65%
MonzaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.355 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.01%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.444 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.459 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.94% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.35%

How you voted: Monza vs AC Milan

Monza
9.9%
Draw
10.5%
AC Milan
79.6%
191
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 16
AC Milan
3-0
Monza
Reijnders (3'), Simic (41'), Okafor (76')
Reijnders (34')

Carboni (55'), Gagliardini (90+2')
Feb 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 23
Monza
0-1
AC Milan
Messias (31')
Oct 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
4-1
Monza
Diaz (16', 41'), Origi (65'), Leao (84')
Ranocchia (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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