MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:12:00| >> :600:3361994:3361994:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Estonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Belgium national football team

Estonia
0 - 3
Belgium


Sinyavskiy (23'), Ojamaa (27'), Tunjov (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lukaku (37', 40'), Bakayoko (90')
Castagne (4'), Vranckx (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Estonia and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-1 Estonia
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Belgium

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Austria
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Estonia 1-3 Belgium

 Both teams play offensive 3-5-2 formations, which has helped create very open matches when these two teams have met in recent years. However, despite missing Kevin De Bruyne through injury, Belgium clearly possess far more individual quality and they should comfortably win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawBelgium
22.6% (-21.329 -21.33) 26.85% (5.14 5.14) 50.56% (16.193 16.19)
Both teams to score 44.19% (-25.593 -25.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.54% (-29.619 -29.62)59.46% (29.624 29.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.18% (-28.827 -28.83)79.82% (28.832 28.83)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (-27.594 -27.59)42.1% (27.6 27.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-36.019 -36.02)78.52% (36.025 36.03)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (-5.299 -5.3)23.69% (5.304 5.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (-8.278 -8.28)57.8% (8.283 8.28)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 22.6%
    Belgium 50.55%
    Draw 26.84%
EstoniaDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 8.63% (3.481 3.48)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-3.041 -3.04)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-1.237 -1.24)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-3.868 -3.87)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-3.472 -3.47)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-2.123 -2.12)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 22.6%
1-1 @ 12.42% (3.703 3.7)
0-0 @ 9.97% (7.306 7.31)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-3.258 -3.26)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 14.36% (9.847 9.85)
0-2 @ 10.34% (6.517 6.52)
1-2 @ 8.95% (1.565 1.57)
0-3 @ 4.97% (2.807 2.81)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-2.166 -2.17)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.874 0.87)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 50.55%

How you voted: Estonia vs Belgium

Estonia
12.0%
Draw
15.7%
Belgium
72.3%
83
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
3-1
Estonia
Benteke (11'), Carrasco (53'), Hazard (74')
Sorga (70')
Mets (14')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
2-5
Belgium
Kait (2'), Sorga (83')
Tamm (55')
Vanaken (22'), Lukaku (29', 52'), Witsel (64'), Foket (76')
Lukaku (47'), Saelemaekers (61')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-2
Belgium
Mertens (31'), Chadli (86')
> Match Report
Nov 13, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
8-1
Estonia
Meunier (8'), Mertens (16', 68'), Hazard (25'), Carrasco (62'), Klavan (65' og.), Lukaku (83', 88')
Anier (30')
rhs 2.0
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