MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:20:11| >> :600:6757285:6757285:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Finland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Denmark national football team

Finland
0 - 1
Denmark


Ivanov (18'), Uronen (53'), Pohjanpalo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hojbjerg (86')
Kristensen (13'), Norgaard (62'), Poulsen (73'), Andersen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Finland and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-1 Finland
Thursday, September 7 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Denmark

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 4-0 San Marino
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Finland 1-1 Denmark

 There is no hiding the fact that Denmark claimed a dominant 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture, but Finland have registered four consecutive clean-sheet wins since then. For that reason, we expect the Eagle-Owls to frustrate the Reds and Whites this time around, with the Nordic neighbours likely to share the spoils in Helsinki. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
FinlandDrawDenmark
38.35% (0.07 0.07) 27.62% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 34.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 48.8% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (0.26900000000001 0.27)56.93% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (0.215 0.22)77.84% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.172 0.17)28.79% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.214 0.21)64.63% (-0.22 -0.22)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (0.13500000000001 0.14)31.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (0.156 0.16)67.85% (-0.161 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Finland 38.35%
    Denmark 34.03%
    Draw 27.62%
FinlandDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.47% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.03%

How you voted: Finland vs Denmark

Finland
26.1%
Draw
22.5%
Denmark
51.4%
111
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Denmark
3-1
Finland
Hojlund (21', 82', 90+3')
Antman (53')
> Preview
Jun 12, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
0-1
Finland
Pohjanpalo (60')
Lod (4'), Sparv (51')
> Match Report
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