MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:13:03| >> :600:10857257:10857257:
Northern Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Finland national football team

N. Ireland
0 - 1
Finland


Charles (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kallman (28')
Jensen (48'), Soiri (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Northern Ireland and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Finland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Northern Ireland 1-1 Finland

Although we remain in the early stages of the group, this is a potentially-pivotal fixture for these nations. With both teams aware that avoiding defeat is imperative, a low-scoring draw feels like the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawFinland
41.73% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 28.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 29.65% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 44.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.48% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)81.35% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (0.064999999999998 0.06)29.06% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)64.97% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)37.01% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)73.8% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 41.73%
    Finland 29.65%
    Draw 28.62%
Northern IrelandDrawFinland
1-0 @ 13.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.65%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Finland

Northern Ireland
57.3%
Draw
17.3%
Finland
25.5%
110
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2015 5pm
Mar 29, 2015 5pm
rhs 2.0
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