MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:11:19| >> :600:8567553:8567553:
Italy national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Malta national football team

Italy
4 - 0
Malta

Bonaventura (22'), Berardi (45+1', 63'), Frattesi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mbong (44'), Yankam (53'), Apap (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Italy and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group C clash with Malta.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 0-2 N. Macedonia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Italy 4-0 Malta

Even with one eye on the impending trip to Wembley and a ravaged, Immobile-less attack, Italy should not run into many obstacles en route to a comfortable victory at the Stadio San Nicola. The absence Teuma in particular will hamper Malta's chances of breaking their 30-year goalless streak against the reigning European champions, and a sixth defeat from six surely awaits the Reds, as Italy send out a early warning to England ahead of next week's highly-anticipated battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Malta had a probability of 13.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Italy in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Italy.

Result
ItalyDrawMalta
63.33% (3.531 3.53) 23.06% (-1.088 -1.09) 13.6% (-2.444 -2.44)
Both teams to score 39.25% (-2.351 -2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33% (-0.125 -0.13)57.67% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)78.43% (0.101 0.1)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (1.248 1.25)17.84% (-1.246 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (2.104 2.1)48.6% (-2.103 -2.1)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.77% (-3.643 -3.64)52.23% (3.645 3.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.85% (-2.496 -2.5)86.15% (2.497 2.5)
Score Analysis
    Italy 63.33%
    Malta 13.6%
    Draw 23.06%
ItalyDrawMalta
1-0 @ 16.06% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 13.84% (1.13 1.13)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 7.95% (0.932 0.93)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.52 0.52)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.151 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 63.33%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.65 -0.65)
0-0 @ 9.32% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.394 -0.39)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.642 -0.64)
1-2 @ 3.39% (-0.613 -0.61)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.451 -0.45)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.6%

How you voted: Italy vs Malta

Italy
84.1%
Draw
9.5%
Malta
6.3%
63
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Malta
0-2
Italy
Retegui (15'), Pessina (27')
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Mar 26, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 11, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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