MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:49:58| >> :600:3360672:3360672:
Latvia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Armenia national football team

Latvia
2 - 0
Armenia

Ikaunieks (39'), Balodis (68')
Oss (31'), Emsis (65')
Oss (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haroyan (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Latvia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Wales
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia4810
2Turkey5210
3Armenia517
4Wales5-17
5Latvia5-100
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Croatia
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia4810
2Turkey5210
3Armenia517
4Wales5-17
5Latvia5-100

We said: Latvia 0-2 Armenia

No goals in September's qualifiers - and no points overall - Latvia's woes show just how difficult Thursday's clash at Skonto Stadions could be for the home team. As Armenia also arrive in Riga motivated by the chance of a top-two finish in Group D, the visitors should depart with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 46%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawArmenia
46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 24.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)46.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)69.23% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)20.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)52.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27%29.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 46%
    Armenia 29.2%
    Draw 24.79%
LatviaDrawArmenia
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Latvia vs Armenia

Latvia
9.7%
Draw
13.9%
Armenia
76.4%
144
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Armenia
2-1
Latvia
Tiknizyan (35'), Barseghyan (90+1' pen.)
Haroyan (10')
Mkrtchyan (67' og.)
Saveljevs (18'), Jaunzems (51'), Uldrikis (81'), Tobers (89')
rhs 2.0
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