Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Latvia2 - 0Armenia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Wales
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Latvia 0-2 Armenia
No goals in September's qualifiers - and no points overall - Latvia's woes show just how difficult Thursday's clash at Skonto Stadions could be for the home team. As Armenia also arrive in Riga motivated by the chance of a top-two finish in Group D, the visitors should depart with maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 46%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.
Result | ||
Latvia | Draw | Armenia |
46% ( -0.01) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% ( -0.02) | 46.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( -0.02) | 69.23% ( 0.02) |
Latvia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% ( -0.01) | 20.49% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% ( -0.02) | 52.97% ( 0.02) |
Armenia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% | 29.73% |