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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Latvia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Turkey national football team

Latvia
2 - 3
Turkey

Emsis (51'), Tobers (90+4')
Oss (34'), Emsis (52'), Tobers (66')
Emsis (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bardakci (22'), Under (61'), Kahveci (90+5')
Celik (32'), Kadioglu (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Latvia and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 1-0 Latvia
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia224
2Wales214
3Turkey2-13
4Armenia1-10
5Latvia1-10

Turkey

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Turkey 0-2 Croatia
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia224
2Wales214
3Turkey2-13
4Armenia1-10
5Latvia1-10

We said: Latvia 2-2 Turkey

 Only a 99th-minute winning goal the last time both nations met prevented a sixth straight draw between Latvia and Turkey. That result seemed anomalous, and a score draw could be on the cards in Friday's encounter at Skonto Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawTurkey
15.15% (-0.038 -0.04) 20.44% (0.004999999999999 0) 64.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (-0.109 -0.11)44.7% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (-0.104 -0.1)67.06% (0.095000000000013 0.1)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.95% (-0.116 -0.12)42.05% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.52% (-0.099 -0.1)78.48% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.85% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)13.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.18% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.81% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 15.15%
    Turkey 64.39%
    Draw 20.44%
LatviaDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 15.15%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.44%
0-2 @ 11.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 11.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.7% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.91% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 3.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 64.39%

How you voted: Latvia vs Turkey

Latvia
12.3%
Draw
16.0%
Turkey
71.6%
81
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
1-2
Turkey
Demiral (70' og.)
Jaunzems (3'), Cigaņiks (50'), Tarasovs (87'), Ozols (90+2')
Dursun (76'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Yilmaz (57')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
3-3
Latvia
Karaman (2'), Calhanoglu (33'), Yilmaz (52' pen.)
Soyuncu (55'), Unal (90'), Turuc (90+4')
Savaļnieks (35'), Uldrikis (58'), Ikaunieks (79')
Kamess (68'), Emsis (71'), Fjodorovs (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Turkey
1-1
Latvia
İnan (77')
Tufan (32')
Sabala (91')
Tarasovs (9'), Vanins (34'), Sabala (91'), Visnakovs (92')
> Match Report
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Latvia
1-1
Turkey
Sabala (54' pen.)
Ikaunieks (45'), Visnakovs (45'), Freimanis (52')
Freimanis (92')
Kisa (47')
Turan (51'), Tore (53'), Kisa (65'), Altintop (92')
> Match Report
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