MX23RW : Friday, November 8 09:43:44| >> :600:2211897:2211897:
Armenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Croatia national football team

Armenia
0 - 1
Croatia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kramaric (13')
Gvardiol (21'), Stanisic (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Turkey 1-1 Armenia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey5210
2Croatia377
3Armenia427
4Wales4-34
5Latvia4-80
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 5-0 Latvia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey5210
2Croatia377
3Armenia427
4Wales4-34
5Latvia4-80

We said: Armenia 0-1 Croatia

Armenia have looked very impressive in Euro 2024 qualification, punching above their weight to pick up positive results against Wales and Turkey, so they are likely to put up a real fight on Monday night. However, Croatia should have the quality to eke out a narrow victory, which would move them to the top of Group D. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Croatia in this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawCroatia
15.81% (0.267 0.27) 21% (0.17 0.17) 63.19% (-0.442 -0.44)
Both teams to score 50.06% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.235 -0.23)45.86% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.223 -0.22)68.17% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.12% (0.212 0.21)41.87% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.67% (0.185 0.18)78.32% (-0.19 -0.19)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.211 -0.21)13.87% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (-0.412 -0.41)41.27% (0.406 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 15.81%
    Croatia 63.18%
    Draw 21%
ArmeniaDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.079 0.08)
2-1 @ 4.35% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.81%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 11.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.69% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 63.18%

How you voted: Armenia vs Croatia

Armenia
11.9%
Draw
17.5%
Croatia
70.6%
143
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 1
Croatia
1-1
Armenia
Perisic (24')
Rebic (53')
Angulo (72')
Terteryan (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!