MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 22:33:12| >> :600:9947666:9947666:
Wales national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Millennium Stadium
Latvia national football team

Wales
1 - 0
Latvia

Moore (41')
Wilson (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sorokins (44'), Cernomordijs (58'), Zjuzins (62')

The Match

Match Report

Wales record a 1-0 victory over Latvia to extend their unbeaten start to Euro 2024 qualifying.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Wales
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Latvia
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawLatvia
34.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 39.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.23% (-0.298 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)51.37% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.334 -0.33)73.19% (0.33999999999999 0.34)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64% (-0.17 -0.17)28.36% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.9% (-0.218 -0.22)64.1% (0.223 0.22)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)25.7% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.32 -0.32)60.62% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Wales 34.58%
    Latvia 39.18%
    Draw 26.24%
WalesDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.097 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.58%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.18%

How you voted: Wales vs Latvia

Wales
75.0%
Draw
10.9%
Latvia
14.1%
128
rhs 2.0
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