MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:08:52| >> :600:3365406:3365406:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Latvia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Wales national football team

Latvia
0 - 2
Wales


Dubra (27'), Savaļnieks (59'), Ikaunieks (64'), Emsis (78'), Tobers (89'), Cigaņiks (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramsey (29' pen.), Brooks (90+6')
Williams (51'), Mepham (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Latvia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 5-0 Latvia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey5210
2Croatia377
3Armenia427
4Wales4-34
5Latvia4-80

Wales

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 0-0 South Korea
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey5210
2Croatia377
3Armenia427
4Wales4-34
5Latvia4-80

We said: Latvia 0-1 Wales

 Latvia look dead and buried already in the section, so Wales must take advantage to get themselves back among the sides challenging for the top two. Their last win outside of Wales came almost two years ago in Estonia, so they must end that barren run here if they want to stay in contention, and they may just have enough despite recent form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawWales
34.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 26.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 39.34% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.54% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04% (0.168 0.17)50.96% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (0.146 0.15)72.83% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.063000000000002 0.06)28.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (0.084000000000003 0.08)63.9% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (0.11 0.11)25.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (0.154 0.15)60.24% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 34.51%
    Wales 39.34%
    Draw 26.13%
LatviaDrawWales
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.51%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Latvia vs Wales

Latvia
12.8%
Draw
22.9%
Wales
64.2%
109
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Wales
1-0
Latvia
Moore (41')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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