MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:53:00| >> :600:8588054:8588054:
Luxembourg national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Liechtenstein national football team

Luxembourg
2 - 0
Liechtenstein

Sinani (59'), Rodrigues (89')
Jans (22'), Chanot (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Luchinger (27'), Malin (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Malta
Friday, June 9 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-7 Iceland
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Luxembourg 2-0 Liechtenstein

Luxembourg are not often the favourites heading into matches at this level, but that will be the case on Saturday. It is really difficult to make a case for Liechtenstein in this game, and we are expecting it to be a routine home success for Holtz's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 82.5%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.93%) and 1-0 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Luxembourg in this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawLiechtenstein
82.5% (-1.826 -1.83) 12.94% (1.12 1.12) 4.56% (0.7131 0.71)
Both teams to score 31.65% (1.648 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-1.429 -1.43)44.49% (1.434 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-1.399 -1.4)66.86% (1.405 1.41)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.63% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)8.37% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.88% (-1.886 -1.89)29.12% (1.892 1.89)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.54% (2.064 2.06)65.46% (-2.057 -2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.8% (0.842 0.84)93.2% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 82.48%
    Liechtenstein 4.56%
    Draw 12.94%
LuxembourgDrawLiechtenstein
2-0 @ 16.85% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 13.93% (-0.7 -0.7)
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.34 0.34)
4-0 @ 8.65% (-0.773 -0.77)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.447 0.45)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.16 0.16)
5-0 @ 4.29% (-0.559 -0.56)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.086 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.77% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 82.48%
1-1 @ 5.76% (0.556 0.56)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.333 0.33)
2-2 @ 1.51% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 12.94%
0-1 @ 2.32% (0.301 0.3)
1-2 @ 1.22% (0.199 0.2)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 4.56%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Liechtenstein

Luxembourg
71.0%
Draw
16.1%
Liechtenstein
12.9%
31
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 7.15pm
Friendlies 2
Luxembourg
1-2
Liechtenstein
Rodrigues (72' pen.)
Wolfinger (23'), Hasler (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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