MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:00:34| >> :60:351:351:
Luxembourg national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Josy Barthel
Bulgaria national football team

Luxembourg
0 - 0
Bulgaria


Holtz (11'), Olesen (11'), Mahmutovic (19'), Sinani (22'), Thill (24'), Curci (36'), Barreiro (88'), Rodrigues (90')
Sinani (87')
FT

Delev (23'), Hristov (34'), Antov (41'), Karabelyov (77'), Iliev (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 Hungary
Thursday, November 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Cyprus 0-2 Bulgaria
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Luxembourg 1-1 Bulgaria

Both sides will enter this match in relatively good form, and we are expecting a close match on Sunday afternoon. There is a lot more experience in the Luxembourg squad, but Bulgaria also have plenty of quality, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawBulgaria
37.55% (0.33000000000001 0.33) 27.67% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 34.78% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Both teams to score 48.75% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)57.04% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (-0.189 -0.19)77.92% (0.19300000000001 0.19)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.080999999999989 0.08)29.31% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.1 0.1)65.28% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)31.03% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (-0.43 -0.43)67.34% (0.434 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 37.55%
    Bulgaria 34.78%
    Draw 27.66%
LuxembourgDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.78%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria

Luxembourg
39.4%
Draw
42.4%
Bulgaria
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
Group A
Luxembourg
1-1
Bulgaria
Thill (3')
Jans (58')
Chochev (68')
Popov (26'), Bodurov (35'), Popov (62'), Raynov (90')
Sep 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group A
Bulgaria
4-3
Luxembourg
Rangelov (16'), Marcelino (65'), Popov (79'), Tonev (92')
Nedyalkov (20'), Marcelinho (45'), Tonev (93'), Popov (94')
Joachim (60', 62'), Bohnert (91')
Malget (23'), Martins (29'), Bohnert (78')
rhs 2.0
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