MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 19:47:36| >> :600:9419330:9419330:
Spain national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Scotland national football team

Spain
2 - 0
Scotland

Morata (73'), Sancet (86')
Merino (45+4'), Carvajal (59'), Simon (61'), Laporte (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dykes (36'), Patterson (51'), Hendry (84')

The Match

Match Report

Alvaro Morata and Oihan Sancet register as Spain record a 2-0 win over Group A leaders Scotland in Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier in Seville.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Spain and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Scotland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 6-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland51115
2Spain4139
3Norway5-17
4Georgia5-84
5Cyprus5-150
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Scotland 1-3 England
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland51115
2Spain4139
3Norway5-17
4Georgia5-84
5Cyprus5-150

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawScotland
54.35% (1.548 1.55) 23.91% (-0.386 -0.39) 21.73% (-1.164 -1.16)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.297 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.345 0.34)49.4% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.308 0.31)71.44% (-0.30900000000001 -0.31)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (0.718 0.72)18.07% (-0.718 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (1.215 1.22)48.99% (-1.216 -1.22)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (-0.921 -0.92)37.25% (0.921 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.921 -0.92)74.03% (0.92100000000001 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Spain 54.35%
    Scotland 21.73%
    Draw 23.91%
SpainDrawScotland
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.73%

How you voted: Spain vs Scotland

Spain
69.1%
Draw
14.0%
Scotland
16.9%
178
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Scotland
2-0
Spain
McTominay (7', 51')
rhs 2.0
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