We said: Spain 3-0 Cyprus
Cyprus are struggling in Group A, and it is very difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. Spain were seriously good against Georgia on Friday evening, and it would be a shock if they were unable to secure another three points in Tuesday's affair on home soil.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 4-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.