European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Spain2 - 1Germany
Reaction
Spain's injury-plagued Pedri suffers major Euro 2024 fitness blow
Spain midfielder Pedri suffers an injury in the opening stages of La Roja's Euro 2024 quarter-final with Germany, being forced off following two fouls from Toni Kroos.
Jul 5, 17:25
Spain vs. Germany player ratings: Substitute Dani Olmo steals the show for La Roja
Sports Mole provides player ratings for Spain's 2-1 win over Germany in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024.
Jul 5, 20:37
Spain's Lamine Yamal breaks another record in Euro 2024 quarter-final
Sixteen-year-old Spain winger Lamine Yamal writes another page of history in La Roja's 2-1 Euro 2024 quarter-final triumph over Germany in Stuttgart.
Jul 6, 09:07
The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole analyses Spain's 2-1 victory over Germany in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and stats.
Match Report
Germany exit Euro 2024 at the quarter-final stage, losing to Spain 2-1 due to a 119th-minute winner from La Roja substitute Mikel Merino.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash between Spain and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash with Germany.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Albania | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Germany had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%).
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Germany |
47.32% ( -0.57) | 23.89% ( -0.01) | 28.79% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
