The Match
Match Report
Merih Demiral's own goal and strikes from Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne saw Italy home.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Turkey and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Turkey could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 opener against Italy.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Italy |
| 20.39% | 27.93% | 51.67% |
| Both teams to score 39.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.37% | 64.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.37% | 83.63% |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.53% | 47.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.16% | 82.84% |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% | 25.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.68% | 60.32% |
| Score Analysis |
Turkey 20.39%
Italy 51.66%
Draw 27.93%
| Turkey | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.39% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 12.09% 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 16.53% 0-2 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-3 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.43% 1-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 51.66% |
How you voted: Turkey vs Italy
Turkey
20.8%Draw
17.1%Italy
62.1%1852
Form Guide
Build-up
Roberto Mancini: 'We cannot afford to underestimate Turkey'
Roberto Mancini's men go into the tournament as one of the favourites for the title.
4 years ago
How Turkey could line up against Italy
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Turkey could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 opener against Italy.
4 years ago
How Italy could line up against Turkey
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 opener against Turkey.
4 years ago
