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Italy national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Northern Ireland national football team

Italy
2 - 0
N. Ireland

Berardi (14'), Immobile (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Saville (48'), Thompson (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Steven Davis earned his 125th international cap in Parma.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Thursday's European World Cup Qualifying clash with Northern Ireland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.22%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawNorthern Ireland
59.22%26%14.78%
Both teams to score 35.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.08%64.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.17%83.83%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25%55.75%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.16%54.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.22%87.78%
Score Analysis
    Italy 59.2%
    Northern Ireland 14.78%
    Draw 25.99%
ItalyDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 18.34%
2-0 @ 13.76%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.14%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.55%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.2%
0-0 @ 12.22%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.78%

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