FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
Bath City2 - 1Merthyr Town
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Bath City and Merthyr Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Merthyr Town 3-2 Cribbs
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bath City | Draw | Merthyr Town |
33.66% ( -0.06) | 26.28% ( 0.01) | 40.05% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.3% ( -0.05) | 51.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.52% ( -0.05) | 73.47% ( 0.04) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( -0.06) | 29.1% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.98% ( -0.08) | 65.02% ( 0.08) |
Merthyr Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% ( 0) | 25.38% ( -0) |