MX23RW : Sunday, September 15 09:05:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
1 - 0
Truro City

Wanjau-Smith (41')
Parselle (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harvey (46'), Riley-Lowe (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 4-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawTruro City
41.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.56% (0.206 0.21) 30.87% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.6% (-0.826 -0.83)57.4% (0.831 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78% (-0.661 -0.66)78.22% (0.667 0.67)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-0.372 -0.37)27.2% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)62.62% (0.493 0.49)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (-0.595 -0.59)33.9% (0.60100000000001 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.652 -0.65)70.58% (0.657 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 41.56%
    Truro City 30.87%
    Draw 27.56%
Bath CityDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 12% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.22% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.87%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Bath City
2-1
Truro City
Cooke (28' pen.), Smith (61')
Riley-Lowe (90+2')
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Truro City
1-1
Bath City
Harvey (5')
Hayfield (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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