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FA Cup
Bournemouth logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
West Brom logo

Bournemouth
5 - 1
West Brom

Kluivert (27'), Ouattara (34', 44'), Semenyo (47'), Jebbison (90+2')
Semenyo (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Taylor (14')
Holgate (18'), Taylor (45+1'), Furlong (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-0 West Bromwich Albion

 With a raft of first-team players sidelined due to injury, Bournemouth are unlikely to cruise to third-round progression at the Vitality, especially if Iraola opts to rotate his XI. West Brom have continued to be solid without Corberan barking orders from the touchline, although we feel that their Premier League opponents will be too strong on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
42.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 32.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (0.077999999999996 0.08)48.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (0.07 0.07)70.9% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.057999999999993 0.06)28.55% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.33% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.18%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.3%
    Draw 25.51%
BournemouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs West Brom

Bournemouth
88.7%
West Bromwich Albion
11.3%
53
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
West Brom
2-0
Bournemouth
Mowatt (8'), Carroll (12')
Furlong (56'), Bartley (83'), Johnstone (84')

Zemura (45+2'), Kelly (52'), Solanke (83')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-2
West Brom
Marcondes (12'), Billing (52')
Mepham (20')
O'Shea (33'), Robinson (67')
Bartley (60'), Mowatt (80'), Livermore (86')
> Match Report
Jul 26, 2019 8pm
Pre-season Friendlies
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0-0
Bournemouth
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
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2-1
West Brom
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Smith (33')
Rodriguez (49')
Livermore (34'), Dawson (87')
> Match Report
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
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Hegazi (31')
Yacob (34'), Rodriguez (82'), Robson-Kanu (95')

Arter (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool19144147192846
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


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