We say: Manchester United 2-1 Bournemouth
Bournemouth had a whopping 29 shots in their stalemate with West Ham, which was not the first time this season that Iraola's men have failed to convert their attacking dominance count into a glut of goals, and such wastefulness could prove fatal at Old Trafford.
As shaky as Amorim's men can be at the back, they have a knack for scoring at the other end and will welcome a handful of refreshed troops back to the XI, so we have faith in Man United to spread some festive cheer around the Theatre of Dreams with a hard-fought three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Bournemouth has a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bournemouth win it is 1-2 (5.13%).