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FA Cup
Dover Athletic
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
0 - 1
Sittingbourne

FT(HT: 0-1)
Howard (13')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Dover Athletic and Sittingbourne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Sittingbourne 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Sittingbourne

All competitions
Last Game: Sittingbourne 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Sittingbourne had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 1-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Sittingbourne win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawSittingbourne
52.06% (0.822 0.82) 21.41% (-0.209 -0.21) 26.53% (-0.618 -0.62)
Both teams to score 65.76% (0.18900000000001 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.96% (0.49299999999999 0.49)33.03% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.23% (0.564 0.56)54.76% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.97% (0.42099999999999 0.42)13.03% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.42% (0.861 0.86)39.58% (-0.866 -0.87)
Sittingbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)24.38% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.214 -0.21)58.8% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 52.06%
    Sittingbourne 26.53%
    Draw 21.41%
Dover AthleticDrawSittingbourne
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.46% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.063 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.049 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 52.06%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.48% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Sittingbourne
2-2
Dover Athletic
Earle (90+2' og.), Kingsford (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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