National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Dover Athletic1 - 0Chelmsford City
Young (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Dover Athletic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-1 Dartford
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
71
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dover Athletic | Draw | Chelmsford City |
12.14% ( -0) | 17.63% ( 0.02) | 70.22% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.23% ( -0.08) | 38.76% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.92% ( -0.09) | 61.07% ( 0.09) |
Dover Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.23% ( -0.06) | 42.77% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.9% ( -0.05) | 79.09% ( 0.05) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% ( -0.02) | 9.89% ( 0.02) |