MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 18:39:37| >> :600:195767:195767:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Emerald Park

Gorleston
4 - 2
St Albans City

Finch (41', 55', 62' pen.), Jefford (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castiglione (53'), Jeffers (64')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Gorleston and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Barking 0-1 Gorleston
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 57.4%. A win for Gorleston had a probability of 21.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Gorleston win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
GorlestonDrawSt Albans City
21.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 21.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 57.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)59.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Gorleston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.012 -0.01)30.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.012 -0.01)67.13% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)12.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)39.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gorleston 21.43%
    St Albans City 57.4%
    Draw 21.17%
GorlestonDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 5.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 21.43%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69%
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 57.4%

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