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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bloomfields

Needham Market
0 - 3
St Albans City

FT(HT: 0-2)
Rasulo (16'), Jeffers (27', 61')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Needham Market and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Needham Market

All competitions
Last Game: Needham Market 0-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

St Albans City

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
Needham MarketDrawSt Albans City
32.66% (-1.25 -1.25) 24.27% (-0.404 -0.4) 43.07% (1.654 1.65)
Both teams to score 59.45% (1.026 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92% (1.515 1.52)43.08% (-1.515 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52% (1.481 1.48)65.48% (-1.482 -1.48)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.54% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)60.39% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (1.398 1.4)20.16% (-1.399 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (2.191 2.19)52.45% (-2.191 -2.19)
Score Analysis
    Needham Market 32.66%
    St Albans City 43.07%
    Draw 24.27%
Needham MarketDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.485 -0.49)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.167 0.17)
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.286 0.29)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.211 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.194 0.19)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.19 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.14 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 43.07%

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