MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 23:15:38| >> :600:593526:593526:
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bowden Park
Bury

Harborough Town
1 - 0
Bury

Stephens (77' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Harborough Town and Bury.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Radcliffe 2-3 Bury
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bury had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harborough Town would win this match.

Result
Harborough TownDrawBury
57.88% (-0.442 -0.44) 21.21% (-0.253 -0.25) 20.91% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 59.22% (2.027 2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (2.152 2.15)38.49% (-2.153 -2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (2.241 2.24)60.78% (-2.243 -2.24)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (0.56699999999999 0.57)13.1% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.26% (1.139 1.14)39.74% (-1.142 -1.14)
Bury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (1.9 1.9)31.85% (-1.901 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (2.118 2.12)68.29% (-2.121 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Harborough Town 57.88%
    Bury 20.91%
    Draw 21.21%
Harborough TownDrawBury
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.517 -0.52)
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.7 -0.7)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.247 0.25)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.164 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 57.88%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.252 0.25)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.441 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.136 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 20.91%

rhs 2.0
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5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
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