FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bowden Park
Harborough Town1 - 0Bury
Stephens (77' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Harborough Town and Bury.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bury had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harborough Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harborough Town | Draw | Bury |
57.88% ( -0.44) | 21.21% ( -0.25) | 20.91% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 59.22% ( 2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.51% ( 2.15) | 38.49% ( -2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.22% ( 2.24) | 60.78% ( -2.24) |
Harborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.89% ( 0.57) | 13.1% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.26% ( 1.14) | 39.74% ( -1.14) |
Bury Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( 1.9) | 31.85% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.71% ( 2.12) | 68.29% ( -2.12) |
Score Analysis |
Harborough Town 57.88%
Bury 20.91%
Draw 21.21%
Harborough Town | Draw | Bury |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.52) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 57.88% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 20.91% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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