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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 1
Ilkeston

Ceesay (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Hereford United and Ilkeston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Heanor Town 0-1 Ilkeston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Ilkeston had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Ilkeston win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawIlkeston
66.14% (0.041000000000011 0.04) 19.06% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 14.8% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.25% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (0.13 0.13)39.09% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.58% (0.135 0.13)61.42% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)11% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71% (0.10499999999999 0.1)35.28% (-0.105 -0.1)
Ilkeston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)39.04% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.065000000000001 0.07)75.76% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 66.14%
    Ilkeston 14.8%
    Draw 19.06%
Hereford UnitedDrawIlkeston
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 4% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 66.14%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.8%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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