MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 17:11:21| >> :600:1004820:1004820:
Hull logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Birmingham logo

Hull City
1 - 1
Birmingham

Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hull City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 1-0 Birmingham City

Hull will be favourites to progress here considering Birmingham's lack of confidence, but the Tigers could have been handed an easier draw in the third round. Blues are likely to adopt a defence-minded approach as they look to steady the ship ahead of the new manager's arrival, although we believe that Saturday afternoon will end in defeat for Spooner's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawBirmingham City
51.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)44.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)66.73% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.51%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 51.61%
    Birmingham City 24.9%
    Draw 23.48%
Hull CityDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.9%

How you voted: Hull City vs Birmingham

Hull City
72.7%
Draw
21.2%
Birmingham City
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
0-2
Hull City

Long (55'), Bacuna (90+3')
Delap (12'), Philogene-Bidace (74')
Delap (55')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm
Gameweek 15
Hull City
0-2
Birmingham
Deeney (14' pen.), Bacuna (47')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Hull City
2-0
Birmingham
Honeyman (17'), Wilks (57')
Magennis (43'), Bernard (45+3'), Greaves (65'), Docherty (83')

Hogan (34')
Gardner (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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