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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
40.29% ( 0.47) | 28.09% ( -0) | 31.62% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.9% ( -0.08) | 59.1% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.46% ( -0.06) | 79.55% ( 0.07) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 0.23) | 28.72% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( 0.28) | 64.54% ( -0.28) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.75% ( -0.37) | 34.25% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.05% ( -0.4) | 70.95% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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