FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Rotherham United
Although Ipswich find themselves a division below their visitors, they arguably boast more quality in their squad and certainly have momentum on their side, and with the addition of home advantage, we back McKenna's side to dump their Championship opponents out of the FA Cup at Portman Road.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.61% . A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 9.66% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 3-0 (10.08%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%) , while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (3.43%) . The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result Ipswich Town Draw Rotherham United 73.61% ( -0.05) 16.73% ( 0.04) 9.66% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.69% ( -0.14)
58.24% ( -0.18) 41.77% ( 0.18)
35.83% ( -0.18) 64.17% ( 0.18)
90.15% ( -0.06) 9.85% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 67.33% ( -0.14) 32.67% ( 0.14)
50.68% ( -0.12) 49.32% ( 0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 15.82% ( -0.08) 84.18% ( 0.08)
Ipswich Town 73.59%
Rotherham United 9.66%
Draw 16.73%
Ipswich Town Draw Rotherham United 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 73.59% 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.73% 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.66%
How you voted: Ipswich vs Rotherham
Ipswich Town
Draw
Rotherham United
45
rhs 2.0
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