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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
2 - 2
Ipswich

Pack (4'), Bishop (60')
Pack (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burgess (11'), Chaplin (87')
Burgess (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Ipswich Town

 While Pompey are winless in seven league games, Ipswich have only lost one of their last nine matches in League One, and with momentum in their favour, we think that the visitors will claim a narrow victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
31.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.4% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 43.11% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.079000000000001 0.08)48.56% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.071999999999999 0.07)70.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.064000000000007 0.06)28.95% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.078000000000003 0.08)64.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.024999999999991 0.02)22.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 31.49%
    Ipswich Town 43.11%
    Draw 25.39%
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.49%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Ipswich

Portsmouth
25.0%
Draw
17.9%
Ipswich Town
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Ipswich
0-2
Portsmouth

Morsy (45+3')
Scarlett (43'), Swanson (90+4')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Portsmouth
Harness (25'), Ladapo (74'), Burns (80')
Bishop (32' pen., 79')
Scarlett (10')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Portsmouth

Thompson (77'), Donacien (82')

Thompson (30'), Curtis (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-4
Ipswich

Curtis (13'), Harness (18')
Bonne (42'), Chaplin (50'), Aluko (58'), Burns (75')
Edmundson (28'), Morsy (72')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Ipswich
Naylor (41'), Harness (72')
Whatmough (18'), Curtis (52'), Cannon (56'), Jacobs (82')
Norwood (32')
Edwards (66'), Chambers (66'), Bishop (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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