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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
2 - 2
Ipswich

Pack (4'), Bishop (60')
Pack (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burgess (11'), Chaplin (87')
Burgess (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Ipswich Town

 While Pompey are winless in seven league games, Ipswich have only lost one of their last nine matches in League One, and with momentum in their favour, we think that the visitors will claim a narrow victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
31.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.4% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 43.11% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.079000000000001 0.08)48.56% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.071999999999999 0.07)70.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.064000000000007 0.06)28.95% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.078000000000003 0.08)64.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.024999999999991 0.02)22.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 31.49%
    Ipswich Town 43.11%
    Draw 25.39%
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.49%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Ipswich

Portsmouth
25.0%
Draw
17.9%
Ipswich Town
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Ipswich
0-2
Portsmouth

Morsy (45+3')
Scarlett (43'), Swanson (90+4')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Portsmouth
Harness (25'), Ladapo (74'), Burns (80')
Bishop (32' pen., 79')
Scarlett (10')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Portsmouth

Thompson (77'), Donacien (82')

Thompson (30'), Curtis (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-4
Ipswich

Curtis (13'), Harness (18')
Bonne (42'), Chaplin (50'), Aluko (58'), Burns (75')
Edmundson (28'), Morsy (72')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Ipswich
Naylor (41'), Harness (72')
Whatmough (18'), Curtis (52'), Cannon (56'), Jacobs (82')
Norwood (32')
Edwards (66'), Chambers (66'), Bishop (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020
> League One Full Table


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